With the news breaking that Darnell Nurse is looking to play for another National Hockey League club next season, the Edmonton Oilers are going to see a combination of effects. First of all, for better or worse, a Nurse departure creates a gap in the current defensive roster—one that is unlikely to be filled by someone within the Oilers' farm system.
The second, somewhat unfortunate effect, is a diminished return. When other teams know that your player wants out, offering prices go down, especially when the field is limited, and the clauses in Nurse's contract allow him to pick his destination.
That's the most likely reason why the request is coming this year. Nurse loses some control of his future home arena when the 2026-27 season ends, and so if he doesn't see himself as a career Oiler, he's motivated to force a move sooner. But while all those negatives are true, the trade could create some much needed cap space for Oilers general manager Stan Bowman, if he manages the deal properly.
No salary retention
Let's look at Jake Walman's salary as an approximate replacement level dollar value for Nurse. Someone like Connor Murphy might take a few dollars less, but $5-7 million is the ballpark. Trading Nurse away gains you $9.5 million, without retention, but you really only come out with $2-3 million of upside. Retaining 25% eliminates virtually all of that savings. That cap flexibility is the big win for the team, and Bowman simply cannot give it away.
The dollars saved are vitally important, because under the new collective bargaining agreement, $2 million in pre-season cap space does not go as far as it once did. While previous CBA's allowed for pro-rating of available cap space (bringing in an $8 million player for 25% of the season, equaling $2 million in actual cost), that loophole has been closed. With less money to work with, the Oilers will need every penny.
The ugly truth is that Darnell Nurse, with four years remaining at $9.25 million, isn't an attractive purchase for most. Given the Oilers' history with imperfect trade conditions, it seems unlikely that Bowman will be able to take another GM to the woodshed on this deal. That (almost) fact, along with the need for cap flexibility, mean the Oilers are going to have to add pieces to any Nurse trade. The prospect cupboard is relatively empty, meaning draft picks are the preferred add-in.
Bowman has done a couple things right in his time at the head of the Oilers boardroom table. His acquisition of Vasily Podkolzin sits foremost in my mind, which suggests that he has the ability to identify undervalued players on other squads. That part of the equation is the Oilers' great, blue and orange hope.
